Re: What percentage 12 tricks

On May 8, 3:14 pm, wheaties <dwheat1...@[EMAIL PROTECTED]
> wrote:

"Win opening lead in dummy, take club finesse of ten which holds. Now
what?"

Duck a spade. Win the return, cash South's minor winners cross to the
spade ace (or heart ace if they returned a spade) and claim if spades
are 3-3 [snip].

****************

David, this is an elegant line of play with only one issue:

You've already won the spade lead in dummy in order to take the club
finesse.  If you then duck a spade at trick 3, assuming that the club
finesse wins, you are looking at:

xx
ATx
KQxx
x

K
KQxx
AJ
AQx

you no longer have the Ace of spades as an entry to the board.  So,
assume that East wins the second spade and returns a small club.  I
think the only squeeze that works now is the single squeeze played as
a double squeeze where East guards clubs and hearts, or West guards
spades and hearts.  (I assume that if the KC hasn't appeared on the
run of the diamonds you will pitch it in order to retain your major
suit squeeze chances).

Perhaps I have, not for the first time, misanalyzed a complicated
position, so I am open to being shown where I have screwed up this
time.

Henrysun909