On Apr 23, 11:23 am, Charles Brenner <cbren...@[EMAIL PROTECTED]
> wrote:
> On Apr 22, 8:34 pm, patpowerss...@[EMAIL PROTECTED]
wrote:
>
>
>
> > White vs. red, IMPs
>
> > I hold
>
> > 3
> > A9765
> > 6
> > KQJ962
>
> > and pickup partner and I stumble our way to a 6H contract. Seven of
> > diamonds is led and dummy comes down as
>
> > AJT72
> > KJ4
> > AJT54
> > -
>
> > What is my best line of play?
>
> > AJT72
> > KJ4
> > AJT54
> > -
>
> > 3
> > A9765
> > 6
> > KQJ962
>
> I see two chances, neither good.
>
> Crossruff -- 1+8+1+2 tricks:
> Win, ruff a diamond. Club king, ace, ruff. Spade ace, ruff spade. Cash
> two clubs.
> Hope to ruff 4th club with dummy's J. Ruff something to hand. Ruff
> club high.
> Now the opponents have discarded 3 times on the clubs, and three cards
> remain:
>
> dummy: small spades & diamonds
> declarer: A9 of trumps, club.
>
> The opponents remain with 5 trumps and a card. The hand is makeable if
> RHO has Q10 of trumps, or if LHO has them doubleton. Hence about a 17%
> chance (68%/4) that the trump suit is suitable, times about 20% that
> clubs break with A onside and 4th round ruffable. 3 to 4%?
>
> Alternative: club 10 tripleton, along with either hQ doubleton or hQ
> third and club A onside.
> Cash hK, hA. If hJ good, pull trumps & hope clubs favorable.
> Otherwise, ruff finesse club.
>
> This seems better -- 4-3 clubs is 60+%; 10 drops 3/7 -- about 26% that
> the clubs are playable. hQ doubleton (or singleton with LHO) is 29%;
> hQxx is 41%. Net: 26%(29%+41%/2)=13%.
>
> Nice bidding.
>
> Charles
Yes, the second line is the winning line.
A surprisingly large number of players bid and made the slam. They
got a lead of the club ace though.
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