"Otis Bricker" <obricker@[EMAIL PROTECTED]
> wrote in message
news:Xns9836883EE1DF8obrickermydejanewsco@[EMAIL PROTECTED]
> "eleaticus" <eleaticus@[EMAIL PROTECTED]
> wrote in news:ESqLg.3387$Ca4.2792
> @[EMAIL PROTECTED]
>
> > "Otis Bricker" <obricker@[EMAIL PROTECTED]
> wrote in message
> > news:Xns9835D31EAFBF9obrickermydejanewsco@[EMAIL PROTECTED]
> >> "eleaticus" <eleaticus@[EMAIL PROTECTED]
> wrote in
> >> news:nBoLg.3364$Ca4.390@[EMAIL PROTECTED]
> >>
> >> > "Susan" <sdbratt48@[EMAIL PROTECTED]
> wrote in message
> >> > news:%AhLg.591$vb1.9@[EMAIL PROTECTED]
> >> >> If you fill out a convention card, why is this a problem?
> >> >
> >> > Couple things.
> >> >
> >> > You can't fill out the ramifications, which in WELOS are many (and
> >> > obvious once you 'get' the simple structure).
> >> >
> >> > But no matter what you see, or hear, during alerts, some people
just
> >> > can't get it that sequences that sound standard to them aren't:
> >> >
> >> > Me: 1C (Alert! Promises four clubs but could be as little as 8
TOTAL
> >> > points.)
> >> > pass.
> >> > Ted; 1H (Alert! Denies four card or better sup****t and is
> >> > non-forcing.) pass.
> >> > ME: pass.
> >> > HUNH?!
> >> >
> >> > Ted could have two queens and a singleton diamond, and I could have
a
> >> > king, a queen, a jack, and a singleton spade (or diamond!)
> >> >
> >> > Third hand may have passed, with the idea of puni****ng us when we
got
> >> > too high.
> >> >
> >> > Second hand/balancer might not be able to connect the 8 total
points
> >> > to the opener she thinks she heard me bid.
> >> >
> >> > However, the damn ACBL lawyers decided to protect the little ol'
> >> > ladies of Wichita, and elsewhere.
> >> >
> >>
> >> Sadly, this post seems to suggest that you think at least one foe the
> >> success you have is that they opponents are unfamiliar with your
style.
> >>
> >> That does not sound s****ting to me.
> >
> > Once again, when after three months of frequent play so-called experts
> > aren't getting what can be learned in 15 minutes ...
> >
>
>
> First, based on the length of the notes you posted and your comment on
> folks missing implications, I think you claim of 15 minutes is a bit
> optimistic.
>
> But moving past that, let us look at some numbers. Three months or
weekly
> games translates to 13 games with perfect attendence. Each game would
have
> the opponents face you for one round of 3 boards(maybe 2 if the game is
of
> reasonable size) assuming a perfect movement. So in three months, these
> pairs will have faced all of 39 hands playing against you. Not a large
> sample.
>
> And that is just the start. Half of these have them in first seat. As a
> ballpark estimate lets say that 30% of those are opened. And there are
some
> hands where you will not open. Assuming that, as you stated, you open
about
> 66% of the time, I would guess that the average opponent will have had
<24
> hands where they could see your style in action over three months. And
they
> have a week between sessions each time to forget any minor new
implications
> that those few hands may have taught them.
>
> That does not include the hands where your style is only evident by its
> absence. Without complete knowledge of your style/system, will opponents
> realize that you would not have passed with a doubleton and 7 HCP? Will
> they realize that once you show up with doubleton and an AQ elsewhere,
> finessing your partner for everything is a sure bet? Ot that once you
have
> shown 5 HCP, a void is not possible? Does you pre-annoucement make this
> sort of thing clear or do they have to experience it once to see the
> implications?
>
>
> I really think you underestimate both the simple value of playing a
> radically different system and the ease with which an opponent will
become
> familiar with all the implications.
Thanks, Otis.
What's the chance that you will see a WELOS card and not think remember
the
things you have just said?
BTW,
One offer to play the system on BridgeBase 'poured in' this morning.
I have to make sure he understood how rusty I am.
I hope one more shows up so maybe two '****ny' nails can play it with me as
a
sub until I get polished again.
--
eleaticus
ee-lee-AT-i-cus
eleaticus@[EMAIL PROTECTED]


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